IS REAL DEPRECIATION AND MORE GOVERNMENT SPENDING EXPANSIONARY? THE CASE OF MONTENEGRO

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By: YU HSING
JEL: E62, F41
Keywords: Currency depreciation, government spending, interest rates, IS-MP-AS model.

Employing an extended IS-MP-AS model to study the effects of the exchange rate, fiscal policy and other related variables in Montenegro, the paper finds that real depreciation of the Euro, a lower government spending-to-GDP ratio, a lower real lending rate in the Euro area, a lower lagged real oil price, a higher lagged real GDP in Germany, and a lower expected inflation rate would promote economic growth.