CONTRIBUTION TO SYSTEMIC RISK OF THE EUROPEAN BANKING GROUPS WITH SUBSIDIARIES IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE
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By: Simona MUTU
JEL: C51, C22, G01, G21, G32
Keywords: systemic risk, Conditional Value at Risk, quantile regression, tail risk, capital adequacy, CEE cross-border banking
This paper investigates the systemic risk within banking groups from the Euro zone with subsidiaries in Central and Eastern Europe during the 2001-2010 period. In order to capture the extreme movements we have modeled the data through tail risk measures and semi-parametric quantile regression. The results show that systemic risk is time-varying in respect with each bank individual risk and a set of indices representative for the European financial markets. Risk measures are higher and more volatile after the 2008 financial crisis, in comparison with the pre-crisis period. Greek banks have the largest contribution to systemic risk, followed by banks from France, Italy and Germany.
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